HYSPLIT predictions for balloon track

2025-11-14

Forward predictions for 2025-11-14

There are no spots today, but yesterdays prediction had the ballloon too far north for the sun to activate it.

Prediction from 2025-11-13 at 2025-11-14 1000Z

Doing a new prediction using these starting lat/long points 1025, 40.5880, 50.9080, 254. 2025, 42.7470, 52.6150, 227. 3025, 44.4120, 52.2830, 240.

Prediction from 52.615N/42.747E at 6440 meters

Ensemble predictions starting from 52.615N/42.747E at 6440 meters

• HYSPLIT GIS products
• HYSPLIT output page

2025-11-13

Forward predictions for 2025-11-13

Red: 6420m, Blue: 6620m, Green: 6820m, MSL. Last telemetered altitude 6620m WGS-84

• HYSPLIT output page
• HYSPLIT kmz output
• HYSPLIT shapefile output

2025-11-12

Forward predictions for 2025-11-12

Red: 6300m, Blue: 6500m, Green: 6700m, MSL. Last telemetered altitude 6540m WGS-84

• HYSPLIT output page
• HYSPLIT kmz output
• HYSPLIT shapefile output

2025-11-11

Forward predictions for 2025-11-11

Initial prediction

The 7000m prediction goes very far north and the balloon likely would not have enough sun to operate.

Red: 6000m, Blue: 6500m, Green: 7000m, MSL. Last telemetered altitude 6500m WGS-84

• HYSPLIT output page
• HYSPLIT kmz output

Additional estimates

These estimate were made to see how sensitive the track was to going far north versus south. It looks more likely to go to the south, which means there should be sun to keep the solar panels operating.

Red: 6600m, Blue: 6700m, Green: 6800m, MSL. Last telemetered altitude 6500m WGS-84

• HYSPLIT output page
• HYSPLIT kmz output

2025-11-10

Forward predictions for 2025-11-10

HYSPLIT output page

2025-11-09

Forward predictions for 2025-11-09

2025-11-08

Forward predictions for 2025-10-08

Model run by Tom Reed